Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a high near 25°C in Paris on September 22 under high pressure with northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing while allowing strong daytime insolation. This setup favors radiative warming, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market clustering around 25–27°C. September climatology shows average highs near 21°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal conditions driven by the blocking pattern. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France updates for any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 22. September?
25°C 54%
24°C 32%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
19°C oder weniger
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
32%
25°C
54%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C oder höher
3%
25°C 54%
24°C 32%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
19°C oder weniger
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
32%
25°C
54%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a high near 25°C in Paris on September 22 under high pressure with northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing while allowing strong daytime insolation. This setup favors radiative warming, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market clustering around 25–27°C. September climatology shows average highs near 21°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal conditions driven by the blocking pattern. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France updates for any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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