Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 22. September?
10°C 40%
12°C 36%
8°C 35%
9°C 35%
7°C oder weniger
25%
8°C
35%
9°C
35%
10°C
40%
11°C
28%
12°C
36%
13°C
35%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C oder höher
2%
10°C 40%
12°C 36%
8°C 35%
9°C 35%
7°C oder weniger
25%
8°C
35%
9°C
35%
10°C
40%
11°C
28%
12°C
36%
13°C
35%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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