Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 7%
$17,534 Vol.
$17,534 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 7%
$17,534 Vol.
$17,534 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
$2,389 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,221 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,849 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,414 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,349 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,131 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,206 Vol.
31%
22°C
$981 Vol.
33%
23°C or higher
$1,390 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volumen
$17,534Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,534Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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