Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Milan today, closely trailed by 22°C at 36%, reflecting alignment across forecast models from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and others projecting peak daytime temperatures of 20-21°C at Malpensa International Airport under a dominant high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds. Overnight updates confirm rising temperatures from yesterday's 16-17°C maximum amid stable sunny conditions over Lombardy, with no precipitation risks. Early April climatology supports these levels—averaging 16-18°C highs—but inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal solar heating and minor cloud transits leaves room for 23°C or higher (10.9%), with hourly Malpensa observations tracking toward resolution this afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 50%
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 12.8%
20°C 3.0%
$35,198 Vol.
$35,198 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
50%
22°C
37%
23°C or higher
13%
21°C 50%
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 12.8%
20°C 3.0%
$35,198 Vol.
$35,198 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
14°C
$1,652 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,866 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,131 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,089 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4,255 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,696 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,062 Vol.
50%
22°C
$2,598 Vol.
37%
23°C or higher
$5,798 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Milan today, closely trailed by 22°C at 36%, reflecting alignment across forecast models from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and others projecting peak daytime temperatures of 20-21°C at Malpensa International Airport under a dominant high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds. Overnight updates confirm rising temperatures from yesterday's 16-17°C maximum amid stable sunny conditions over Lombardy, with no precipitation risks. Early April climatology supports these levels—averaging 16-18°C highs—but inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal solar heating and minor cloud transits leaves room for 23°C or higher (10.9%), with hourly Malpensa observations tracking toward resolution this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$35,198Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Milan today, closely trailed by 22°C at 36%, reflecting alignment across forecast models from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and others projecting peak daytime temperatures of 20-21°C at Malpensa International Airport under a dominant high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds. Overnight updates confirm rising temperatures from yesterday's 16-17°C maximum amid stable sunny conditions over Lombardy, with no precipitation risks. Early April climatology supports these levels—averaging 16-18°C highs—but inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal solar heating and minor cloud transits leaves room for 23°C or higher (10.9%), with hourly Malpensa observations tracking toward resolution this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,198Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Milan today, closely trailed by 22°C at 36%, reflecting alignment across forecast models from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and others projecting peak daytime temperatures of 20-21°C at Malpensa International Airport under a dominant high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds. Overnight updates confirm rising temperatures from yesterday's 16-17°C maximum amid stable sunny conditions over Lombardy, with no precipitation risks. Early April climatology supports these levels—averaging 16-18°C highs—but inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal solar heating and minor cloud transits leaves room for 23°C or higher (10.9%), with hourly Malpensa observations tracking toward resolution this afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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