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Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?

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Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?

Apr. 14

Apr. 15

Apr. 16

Apr. 14

Apr. 15

Apr. 16

82-83°F 23%

84-85°F 22%

86-87°F 19%

80-81°F 16%

Polymarket
NEU

82-83°F 23%

84-85°F 22%

86-87°F 19%

80-81°F 16%

Polymarket
NEU

77°F oder weniger

$1,156 Vol.

1%

78-79°F

$457 Vol.

3%

80-81°F

$121 Vol.

16%

82-83°F

$175 Vol.

23%

84-85°F

$87 Vol.

22%

86-87°F

$89 Vol.

19%

88-89°F

$529 Vol.

10%

90-91°F

$789 Vol.

7%

92-93°F

$506 Vol.

2%

94-95°F

$425 Vol.

<1%

96°F oder höher

$699 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance projecting mid-to-upper 80s highs for New York City on April 16 under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and ample sunshine, with light southerly winds aiding warm air advection. The close contest among 82-83°F (28.5% implied probability), 84-85°F (23.5%), and 86-87°F (23.0%) stems from slight ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models—GFS trending marginally warmer via deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF shows minor afternoon cloudiness potential cooling peaks by 2-3°F. Yesterday's forecast updates trended warmer after early-week cooler biases, but sea breeze timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park (market resolution site) add uncertainty; watch 00Z model runs tonight for shifts ahead of Thursday's peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,857
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance projecting mid-to-upper 80s highs for New York City on April 16 under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and ample sunshine, with light southerly winds aiding warm air advection. The close contest among 82-83°F (28.5% implied probability), 84-85°F (23.5%), and 86-87°F (23.0%) stems from slight ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models—GFS trending marginally warmer via deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF shows minor afternoon cloudiness potential cooling peaks by 2-3°F. Yesterday's forecast updates trended warmer after early-week cooler biases, but sea breeze timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park (market resolution site) add uncertainty; watch 00Z model runs tonight for shifts ahead of Thursday's peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,857
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „82-83°F" mit 23%, gefolgt von „84-85°F" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 23¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?" ist „82-83°F" mit 23%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „84-85°F" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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