Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on June 29?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 29?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$154,426 Vol.
$154,426 Vol.
29. Juni 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$154,426 Vol.
$154,426 Vol.
29. Juni 2026
24°C or below
$16,698 Vol.
No
25°C
$17,590 Vol.
No
26°C
$22,204 Vol.
No
27°C
$17,278 Vol.
No
28°C
$23,820 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$23,438 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,804 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,159 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,876 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,984 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$4,576 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$154,426Enddatum
29. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$154,426Enddatum
29. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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