Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (24.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (23.0%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting peaks near 68°F amid a warming trend. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook, released in late March, signals a 40-50% chance of above-normal temperatures for western Washington, fueled by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor ridging aloft and reduced marine layer persistence. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-cloud cover and isolated shower risks, which could suppress highs below 70°F, versus clearer skies allowing slight intensification. NWS Seattle updates expected twice daily through Sunday will refine guidance ahead of resolution at SeaTac Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 6. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 6. April?
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
59°F oder darunter
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
14%
74–75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F oder höher
1%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
59°F oder darunter
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
14%
74–75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (24.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (23.0%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting peaks near 68°F amid a warming trend. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook, released in late March, signals a 40-50% chance of above-normal temperatures for western Washington, fueled by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor ridging aloft and reduced marine layer persistence. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-cloud cover and isolated shower risks, which could suppress highs below 70°F, versus clearer skies allowing slight intensification. NWS Seattle updates expected twice daily through Sunday will refine guidance ahead of resolution at SeaTac Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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