Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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