Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai high temperature of 20°C (35.5% implied probability) or 21°C (29.5%), reflecting mild mid-April conditions with southerly moisture advection ahead of a frontal system under mostly cloudy skies. The close split stems from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and timing—thicker overcast favors 20°C by limiting solar heating, while brief sun breaks or stronger warm air advection could push to 21°C. Historical mid-April highs average around 20°C, with daily variability from 18-23°C tied to jet stream positioning and East China Sea influences. Final resolution hinges on real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong station, with updates expected hourly tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. April?
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 10.5%
NEU
$22,767 Vol.
NEU
$22,767 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
29%
22°C
11%
23°C oder höher
6%
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 10.5%
NEU
$22,767 Vol.
NEU
$22,767 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$3,610 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,972 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,883 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,450 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,264 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,658 Vol.
6%
19°C
$1,579 Vol.
19%
20°C
$1,724 Vol.
36%
21°C
$913 Vol.
29%
22°C
$1,641 Vol.
11%
23°C oder höher
$2,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai high temperature of 20°C (35.5% implied probability) or 21°C (29.5%), reflecting mild mid-April conditions with southerly moisture advection ahead of a frontal system under mostly cloudy skies. The close split stems from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and timing—thicker overcast favors 20°C by limiting solar heating, while brief sun breaks or stronger warm air advection could push to 21°C. Historical mid-April highs average around 20°C, with daily variability from 18-23°C tied to jet stream positioning and East China Sea influences. Final resolution hinges on real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong station, with updates expected hourly tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$22,767Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai high temperature of 20°C (35.5% implied probability) or 21°C (29.5%), reflecting mild mid-April conditions with southerly moisture advection ahead of a frontal system under mostly cloudy skies. The close split stems from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and timing—thicker overcast favors 20°C by limiting solar heating, while brief sun breaks or stronger warm air advection could push to 21°C. Historical mid-April highs average around 20°C, with daily variability from 18-23°C tied to jet stream positioning and East China Sea influences. Final resolution hinges on real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong station, with updates expected hourly tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,767Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai high temperature of 20°C (35.5% implied probability) or 21°C (29.5%), reflecting mild mid-April conditions with southerly moisture advection ahead of a frontal system under mostly cloudy skies. The close split stems from model disagreements on cloud cover thickness and timing—thicker overcast favors 20°C by limiting solar heating, while brief sun breaks or stronger warm air advection could push to 21°C. Historical mid-April highs average around 20°C, with daily variability from 18-23°C tied to jet stream positioning and East China Sea influences. Final resolution hinges on real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong station, with updates expected hourly tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen