Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers from a passing frontal system, introducing cooler northeasterly winds after today's warm highs near 28-30°C. This shift explains trader consensus favoring 26°C (35% implied probability) as the leader, slightly above the official guidance, with 25°C (25%) and 27°C (19.5%) close behind—reflecting uncertainty in frontal timing, potential cloud breaks, and model variations amid April's typical highs of 25-26°C. Strengthening winds post-front could cap warming, but brief clearing might push toward 27°C; monitor CWA updates through resolution at official Taipei stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
$18,593 Vol.
$18,593 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
$18,593 Vol.
$18,593 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers from a passing frontal system, introducing cooler northeasterly winds after today's warm highs near 28-30°C. This shift explains trader consensus favoring 26°C (35% implied probability) as the leader, slightly above the official guidance, with 25°C (25%) and 27°C (19.5%) close behind—reflecting uncertainty in frontal timing, potential cloud breaks, and model variations amid April's typical highs of 25-26°C. Strengthening winds post-front could cap warming, but brief clearing might push toward 27°C; monitor CWA updates through resolution at official Taipei stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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