Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) and 30°C (26.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting uncertainty in an approaching weather front noted in Central Weather Administration (CWA) updates. Recent stable high-pressure systems have driven daytime highs to 30–31°C through April 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, but the front—forecast to bring scattered showers and increased cloud cover—is expected to moderate peaks by limiting solar heating. Model ensembles show divergence: earlier frontal arrival could cap temperatures at 29°C via enhanced humidity and overcast conditions, while a delayed push might allow a brief 30°C surge midday. CWA's next advisories, due April 15, will refine timing based on observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery. Climatological April highs average 26°C, underscoring the warm anomaly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
16. Apr. 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
16. Apr. 2026
26°C or below
$912 Vol.
2%
27°C
$451 Vol.
3%
28°C
$47 Vol.
9%
29°C
$56 Vol.
19%
30°C
$63 Vol.
28%
31°C
$105 Vol.
22%
32°C
$70 Vol.
14%
33°C
$21 Vol.
4%
34°C
$117 Vol.
6%
35°C
$92 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$361 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) and 30°C (26.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting uncertainty in an approaching weather front noted in Central Weather Administration (CWA) updates. Recent stable high-pressure systems have driven daytime highs to 30–31°C through April 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, but the front—forecast to bring scattered showers and increased cloud cover—is expected to moderate peaks by limiting solar heating. Model ensembles show divergence: earlier frontal arrival could cap temperatures at 29°C via enhanced humidity and overcast conditions, while a delayed push might allow a brief 30°C surge midday. CWA's next advisories, due April 15, will refine timing based on observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery. Climatological April highs average 26°C, underscoring the warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$2,071Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) and 30°C (26.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting uncertainty in an approaching weather front noted in Central Weather Administration (CWA) updates. Recent stable high-pressure systems have driven daytime highs to 30–31°C through April 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, but the front—forecast to bring scattered showers and increased cloud cover—is expected to moderate peaks by limiting solar heating. Model ensembles show divergence: earlier frontal arrival could cap temperatures at 29°C via enhanced humidity and overcast conditions, while a delayed push might allow a brief 30°C surge midday. CWA's next advisories, due April 15, will refine timing based on observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery. Climatological April highs average 26°C, underscoring the warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,071Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 29°C (32.5% implied probability) and 30°C (26.0%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting uncertainty in an approaching weather front noted in Central Weather Administration (CWA) updates. Recent stable high-pressure systems have driven daytime highs to 30–31°C through April 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, but the front—forecast to bring scattered showers and increased cloud cover—is expected to moderate peaks by limiting solar heating. Model ensembles show divergence: earlier frontal arrival could cap temperatures at 29°C via enhanced humidity and overcast conditions, while a delayed push might allow a brief 30°C surge midday. CWA's next advisories, due April 15, will refine timing based on observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery. Climatological April highs average 26°C, underscoring the warm anomaly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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