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Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?

Market icon

Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?

Apr. 15

Apr. 16

Apr. 15

Apr. 16

18°C 53%

17°C 31%

19°C 15%

20°C oder höher 2.5%

Polymarket
NEU

$81,979 Vol.

18°C 53%

17°C 31%

19°C 15%

20°C oder höher 2.5%

Polymarket
NEU

$81,979 Vol.

15°C

$5,847 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$17,070 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$5,176 Vol.

31%

18°C

$3,670 Vol.

53%

19°C

$4,370 Vol.

15%

20°C oder höher

$6,829 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**MetService's latest forecast, observed at Kelburn Automatic Weather Station near Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution site—projects a daytime high of 18°C today under fine skies with light northerlies following a brief morning southerly shift, driving trader consensus to 52.5% implied probability for 18°C and 29.5% for 17°C.** Yesterday's observed maximum reached 17.1°C amid gusty northwest winds totaling zero rainfall, while current midday readings show 14.2°C with minimal cloud cover, providing ample solar heating potential aligned with April climatological norms of 16–18°C highs. Model consensus reflects low uncertainty from stable high-pressure influence, though evening cloud could cap peaks; real-time airport observations this afternoon will refine trajectories ahead of market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$81,979
Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**MetService's latest forecast, observed at Kelburn Automatic Weather Station near Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution site—projects a daytime high of 18°C today under fine skies with light northerlies following a brief morning southerly shift, driving trader consensus to 52.5% implied probability for 18°C and 29.5% for 17°C.** Yesterday's observed maximum reached 17.1°C amid gusty northwest winds totaling zero rainfall, while current midday readings show 14.2°C with minimal cloud cover, providing ample solar heating potential aligned with April climatological norms of 16–18°C highs. Model consensus reflects low uncertainty from stable high-pressure influence, though evening cloud could cap peaks; real-time airport observations this afternoon will refine trajectories ahead of market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$81,979
Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „18°C" mit 53%, gefolgt von „17°C" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $82K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 13, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?" ist „18°C" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „17°C" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. April?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.