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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?

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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?

29°C 29%

28°C 27%

30°C 23%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
NEU

29°C 29%

28°C 27%

30°C 23%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
NEU

22°C or below

$430 Vol.

1%

23°C

$470 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$184 Vol.

1%

25°C

$4 Vol.

9%

26°C

$40 Vol.

11%

27°C

$88 Vol.

16%

28°C

$3 Vol.

27%

29°C

$8 Vol.

29%

30°C

$8 Vol.

23%

31°C

$27 Vol.

7%

32°C or higher

$25 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,286
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,286
Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „29°C" mit 29%, gefolgt von „28°C" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 29¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 29% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?" ist „29°C" mit 29%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 29% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „28°C" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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