Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 32°C (40% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Taipei's highest temperature today at Songshan Airport Station, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast of a 31°C daytime peak under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and 60-70% humidity. Yesterday's (April 14) observed high of 31°C under clear conditions, part of a week-long warm spell with prior peaks of 31-33°C (e.g., 33°C on April 11), underscores a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating beyond April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align around 31-32°C, though urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty; watch CWA's hourly updates and real-time observations for potential shifts toward 33°C (16.5%) or lower if instability develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
32°C 39%
31°C 27%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NEU
$62,147 Vol.
NEU
$62,147 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
27%
32°C
39%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 27%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NEU
$62,147 Vol.
NEU
$62,147 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
27°C
$7,295 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,130 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,937 Vol.
3%
30°C
$4,481 Vol.
15%
31°C
$4,086 Vol.
27%
32°C
$5,057 Vol.
39%
33°C
$4,869 Vol.
20%
34°C
$7,251 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$10,699 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 32°C (40% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Taipei's highest temperature today at Songshan Airport Station, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast of a 31°C daytime peak under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and 60-70% humidity. Yesterday's (April 14) observed high of 31°C under clear conditions, part of a week-long warm spell with prior peaks of 31-33°C (e.g., 33°C on April 11), underscores a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating beyond April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align around 31-32°C, though urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty; watch CWA's hourly updates and real-time observations for potential shifts toward 33°C (16.5%) or lower if instability develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$62,147Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 32°C (40% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Taipei's highest temperature today at Songshan Airport Station, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast of a 31°C daytime peak under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and 60-70% humidity. Yesterday's (April 14) observed high of 31°C under clear conditions, part of a week-long warm spell with prior peaks of 31-33°C (e.g., 33°C on April 11), underscores a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating beyond April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align around 31-32°C, though urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty; watch CWA's hourly updates and real-time observations for potential shifts toward 33°C (16.5%) or lower if instability develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,147Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 32°C (40% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Taipei's highest temperature today at Songshan Airport Station, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast of a 31°C daytime peak under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and 60-70% humidity. Yesterday's (April 14) observed high of 31°C under clear conditions, part of a week-long warm spell with prior peaks of 31-33°C (e.g., 33°C on April 11), underscores a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating beyond April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align around 31-32°C, though urban heat island effects and variable afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty; watch CWA's hourly updates and real-time observations for potential shifts toward 33°C (16.5%) or lower if instability develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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