Latest ensemble forecasts from services like Yandex Weather and Gismeteo project Vnukovo Airport's highest temperature on April 15 between 12–14°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 13°C at 39.5% and 12°C at 38.5%, as overcast conditions and light rain showers suppress solar insolation despite mild northeast winds of 3–4 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures near 10°C under persistent cloud cover from a cool air mass over western Russia, aligning with mid-April climatological highs around 10°C but tempered by recent rainy patterns. Key uncertainty hinges on afternoon cloud breaks during peak solar heating (1400–1700 local time), potentially tipping toward 13°C, versus continued drizzle favoring 12°C; NOAA Vnukovo data will resolve by day's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
13°C 39%
12°C 36%
11°C 12%
14°C 6.7%
$28,782 Vol.
$28,782 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
36%
13°C
39%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 36%
11°C 12%
14°C 6.7%
$28,782 Vol.
$28,782 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
36%
13°C
39%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from services like Yandex Weather and Gismeteo project Vnukovo Airport's highest temperature on April 15 between 12–14°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 13°C at 39.5% and 12°C at 38.5%, as overcast conditions and light rain showers suppress solar insolation despite mild northeast winds of 3–4 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures near 10°C under persistent cloud cover from a cool air mass over western Russia, aligning with mid-April climatological highs around 10°C but tempered by recent rainy patterns. Key uncertainty hinges on afternoon cloud breaks during peak solar heating (1400–1700 local time), potentially tipping toward 13°C, versus continued drizzle favoring 12°C; NOAA Vnukovo data will resolve by day's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen