Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 9?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 Vol.
$186,263 Vol.
9. Juni 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 Vol.
$186,263 Vol.
9. Juni 2026
18°C or below
$374 Vol.
No
19°C
$500 Vol.
No
20°C
$960 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,139 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,483 Vol.
No
23°C
$28,675 Vol.
No
24°C
$20,979 Vol.
No
25°C
$40,506 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$43,494 Vol.
No
27°C
$19,655 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$12,497 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$186,263Enddatum
9. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$186,263Enddatum
9. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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