Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 23?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 Vol.
$146,661 Vol.
23. Mai 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 Vol.
$146,661 Vol.
23. Mai 2026
22°C or below
$8,950 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,107 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,904 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,728 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,103 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,753 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,216 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,212 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,905 Vol.
No
31°C
$25,387 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$25,396 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$146,661Enddatum
23. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$146,661Enddatum
23. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen