Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 clustering tightly around 20-23°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 22°C, but recent developments—a weakening cold front lingering from March 26-27—introduce differentiation, potentially capping peaks at 20-21°C if showers persist, versus 22-23°C with increased solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Taipei. Lower odds for extremes reflect minimal risk of heatwaves or deep cold snaps per current sea surface temperature anomalies in the East China Sea. Key watch: CWA's 12Z update today for refined boundary layer stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
15%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
15%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 clustering tightly around 20-23°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 22°C, but recent developments—a weakening cold front lingering from March 26-27—introduce differentiation, potentially capping peaks at 20-21°C if showers persist, versus 22-23°C with increased solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Taipei. Lower odds for extremes reflect minimal risk of heatwaves or deep cold snaps per current sea surface temperature anomalies in the East China Sea. Key watch: CWA's 12Z update today for refined boundary layer stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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