Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26, driven by Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model runs showing diurnal highs in that range. Differentiating factors include variable cloudiness from a weakening frontal system, which could suppress solar insolation and limit peaks to 23°C, versus clearer intervals boosting shortwave radiation for 25°C; historical March data averages 23°C highs, but recent observations indicate a slight warming anomaly from Pacific high pressure. Traders eye intraday updates, as urban heat island effects in Taipei amplify small forecast variances by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
24°C 41%
25°C 18%
27°C or higher 17%
23°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
13%
24°C 41%
25°C 18%
27°C or higher 17%
23°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26, driven by Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model runs showing diurnal highs in that range. Differentiating factors include variable cloudiness from a weakening frontal system, which could suppress solar insolation and limit peaks to 23°C, versus clearer intervals boosting shortwave radiation for 25°C; historical March data averages 23°C highs, but recent observations indicate a slight warming anomaly from Pacific high pressure. Traders eye intraday updates, as urban heat island effects in Taipei amplify small forecast variances by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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