Trader consensus on Toronto's highest temperature March 24 hinges on ensemble weather model outputs clustering tightly around 4-6°C, with Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast pegging a high of 5°C under cloudy skies and scattered flurries that could cap daytime heating. ECMWF models edge toward 6°C or higher in some runs via mild southerly flow, while GFS leans cooler at 4°C amid a passing front, explaining the razor-thin odds separation. Historical March 24 averages near 6°C provide bullish context, but short-term uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing differentiates these outcomes, with updates expected by midday influencing final trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 24. März?
6°C oder höher 32%
5°C 29%
4°C 26%
3°C 14%
-4°C oder darunter
1%
-3°C
2%
-2°C
2%
-1°C
3%
0°C
2%
1°C
5%
2°C
10%
3°C
12%
4°C
26%
5°C
29%
6°C oder höher
32%
6°C oder höher 32%
5°C 29%
4°C 26%
3°C 14%
-4°C oder darunter
1%
-3°C
2%
-2°C
2%
-1°C
3%
0°C
2%
1°C
5%
2°C
10%
3°C
12%
4°C
26%
5°C
29%
6°C oder höher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Toronto's highest temperature March 24 hinges on ensemble weather model outputs clustering tightly around 4-6°C, with Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast pegging a high of 5°C under cloudy skies and scattered flurries that could cap daytime heating. ECMWF models edge toward 6°C or higher in some runs via mild southerly flow, while GFS leans cooler at 4°C amid a passing front, explaining the razor-thin odds separation. Historical March 24 averages near 6°C provide bullish context, but short-term uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing differentiates these outcomes, with updates expected by midday influencing final trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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