Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts pinpoint Seoul's high temperature on March 22 at around 13°C, fueling trader consensus with 32.5% odds for 14°C or higher, 26% for exactly 12°C, and 22.5% for 13°C amid tight clustering. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover variability—clearer skies under high-pressure ridges favor 14°C+, while incoming moist air from the Yellow Sea could cap it at 12°C. Recent observations reveal a mild March anomaly, with early-week highs exceeding seasonal norms by 2°C due to southerly winds, though urban heat island effects amplify Seoul-specific readings; traders eye tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
14°C or higher 33%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 13%
$75,196 Vol.
$75,196 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
33%
14°C or higher 33%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 13%
$75,196 Vol.
$75,196 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts pinpoint Seoul's high temperature on March 22 at around 13°C, fueling trader consensus with 32.5% odds for 14°C or higher, 26% for exactly 12°C, and 22.5% for 13°C amid tight clustering. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover variability—clearer skies under high-pressure ridges favor 14°C+, while incoming moist air from the Yellow Sea could cap it at 12°C. Recent observations reveal a mild March anomaly, with early-week highs exceeding seasonal norms by 2°C due to southerly winds, though urban heat island effects amplify Seoul-specific readings; traders eye tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen