Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 remains tightly clustered around 17–18°C at 27.5% implied probabilities, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts amid spring's volatile weather patterns. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models points to daytime highs of 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while GFS runs suggest cooler 14–16°C outcomes due to lingering frontal influences from a recent low-pressure system. Historical March data shows average peaks near 16°C, but urban heat island effects in Wuhan could nudge readings higher; 00Z model updates tonight may clarify differentiation, as small-scale convective activity adds variability to precise hourly maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 24. März?
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
9°C oder niedriger 26%
10°C 26%
9°C oder niedriger
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C oder höher
26%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
9°C oder niedriger 26%
10°C 26%
9°C oder niedriger
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C oder höher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 remains tightly clustered around 17–18°C at 27.5% implied probabilities, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts amid spring's volatile weather patterns. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models points to daytime highs of 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while GFS runs suggest cooler 14–16°C outcomes due to lingering frontal influences from a recent low-pressure system. Historical March data shows average peaks near 16°C, but urban heat island effects in Wuhan could nudge readings higher; 00Z model updates tonight may clarify differentiation, as small-scale convective activity adds variability to precise hourly maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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