Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 23 high temperature is evenly split across 15-24°C outcomes, reflecting model forecast divergence in the Yangtze River basin's subtropical climate. Leading ECMWF ensembles project 17-19°C amid persistent cool northerly flows from recent Siberian air masses, while GFS runs favor 20-22°C with emerging southerly moisture. Historical late-March averages hover at 18°C, but urban heat islands and Three Gorges topography amplify local variability by 2-3°C. Official CMA updates today hold steady at 19°C peak, yet ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, underscoring low-confidence spring transition dynamics and justifying the market's 25-27% implied probabilities per bin. Hourly observations from Jiangbei station will resolve precisely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
20°C 27%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
20%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 27%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
20%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 23 high temperature is evenly split across 15-24°C outcomes, reflecting model forecast divergence in the Yangtze River basin's subtropical climate. Leading ECMWF ensembles project 17-19°C amid persistent cool northerly flows from recent Siberian air masses, while GFS runs favor 20-22°C with emerging southerly moisture. Historical late-March averages hover at 18°C, but urban heat islands and Three Gorges topography amplify local variability by 2-3°C. Official CMA updates today hold steady at 19°C peak, yet ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, underscoring low-confidence spring transition dynamics and justifying the market's 25-27% implied probabilities per bin. Hourly observations from Jiangbei station will resolve precisely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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