Trader sentiment for Wuhan's March 21 high temperature clusters tightly around 13-21°C, with 18°C leading at 24% implied probability, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 16-19°C following a recent cold frontal passage. Historical late-March averages hover near 17°C, but southerly winds and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River hub are pushing diurnal maxima higher, differentiating outcomes: persistent low clouds could suppress to 13-15°C, while clear skies enable 18-21°C spikes via enhanced solar insolation. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer stability, with upcoming 12Z updates poised to sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 21?
21°C 46%
18°C 25%
13°C 24%
14°C 24%
12°C or below
18%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
18%
17°C
24%
18°C
25%
19°C
20%
20°C
18%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
18%
21°C 46%
18°C 25%
13°C 24%
14°C 24%
12°C or below
18%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
18%
17°C
24%
18°C
25%
19°C
20%
20°C
18%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's March 21 high temperature clusters tightly around 13-21°C, with 18°C leading at 24% implied probability, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 16-19°C following a recent cold frontal passage. Historical late-March averages hover near 17°C, but southerly winds and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River hub are pushing diurnal maxima higher, differentiating outcomes: persistent low clouds could suppress to 13-15°C, while clear skies enable 18-21°C spikes via enhanced solar insolation. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer stability, with upcoming 12Z updates poised to sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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