Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's March 22 high temperature remains evenly split, with 27°C edging ahead at 26% amid near-identical 25.5% implied probabilities across outcomes, reflecting model forecast divergence just days out. China Meteorological Administration projections center on 26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge 2-3°C due to urban heat island amplification in this coastal megacity and variable low-level moisture inhibiting peaks. Historical March highs average 25°C, but lingering El Niño warmth tilts odds toward 26-27°C over 30°C+ extremes requiring adiabatic heating or 20°C lows needing cold air advection, absent in current synoptic patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 22?
27°C 26%
20°C or below 26%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
20°C or below
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
26%
27°C 26%
20°C or below 26%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
20°C or below
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's March 22 high temperature remains evenly split, with 27°C edging ahead at 26% amid near-identical 25.5% implied probabilities across outcomes, reflecting model forecast divergence just days out. China Meteorological Administration projections center on 26°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge 2-3°C due to urban heat island amplification in this coastal megacity and variable low-level moisture inhibiting peaks. Historical March highs average 25°C, but lingering El Niño warmth tilts odds toward 26-27°C over 30°C+ extremes requiring adiabatic heating or 20°C lows needing cold air advection, absent in current synoptic patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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