Trader sentiment for NYC's March 22 high temperature clusters tightly around 56-61°F due to diverging global ensemble forecasts, with the GFS model run warming to 59-61°F amid stronger ridging aloft, while ECMWF guidance holds cooler at 56-57°F under persistent cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. National Weather Service pins the official Central Park forecast at 58°F, but traders weigh uncertainties in afternoon insolation and light southerly flow, which could boost peaks into the low 60s or cap them below 57°F if showers materialize late. March climatology favors means near 52°F, yet recent synoptic patterns support this elevated spread, with 00z updates likely to sway odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 22. März?
60-61°F 19%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 18%
54-55°F 14%
$31,985 Vol.
$31,985 Vol.
53°F oder darunter
13%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
3%
66–67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72°F oder höher
<1%
60-61°F 19%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 18%
54-55°F 14%
$31,985 Vol.
$31,985 Vol.
53°F oder darunter
13%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
3%
66–67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for NYC's March 22 high temperature clusters tightly around 56-61°F due to diverging global ensemble forecasts, with the GFS model run warming to 59-61°F amid stronger ridging aloft, while ECMWF guidance holds cooler at 56-57°F under persistent cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. National Weather Service pins the official Central Park forecast at 58°F, but traders weigh uncertainties in afternoon insolation and light southerly flow, which could boost peaks into the low 60s or cap them below 57°F if showers materialize late. March climatology favors means near 52°F, yet recent synoptic patterns support this elevated spread, with 00z updates likely to sway odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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