Latest weather models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Taipei high of 22-23°C on March 27, driven by a lingering cold front suppressing temperatures through persistent cloud cover and light showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 27% and 21°C or below at 24.5%. This differentiates the leading outcomes via frontal boundary dynamics: fuller insolation could push to 22-23°C if clouds thin midday, while overcast skies favor sub-21°C maxima, as seen in similar late-March cool spells. Historical highs average 24°C, but this season's anomalous chill—evident in recent diurnal ranges—caps upside, with traders eyeing today's final CWA update for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
21°C or below 28%
22°C 27%
24°C 18%
23°C 16%
21°C or below
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 28%
22°C 27%
24°C 18%
23°C 16%
21°C or below
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Taipei high of 22-23°C on March 27, driven by a lingering cold front suppressing temperatures through persistent cloud cover and light showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 27% and 21°C or below at 24.5%. This differentiates the leading outcomes via frontal boundary dynamics: fuller insolation could push to 22-23°C if clouds thin midday, while overcast skies favor sub-21°C maxima, as seen in similar late-March cool spells. Historical highs average 24°C, but this season's anomalous chill—evident in recent diurnal ranges—caps upside, with traders eyeing today's final CWA update for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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