Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature March 28 heavily favors 22°C or higher at 35% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting highs of 21-23°C amid strengthening southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. Recent observations show March 25-27 highs climbing to 19-20°C after a mid-month cold snap, aligning with urban heat island effects amplifying nighttime recovery in the city. Historical late-March averages hover around 17-18°C, but current jet stream positioning supports above-normal temps, positioning 21°C (18.5%) and 20°C (18%) as strong contenders while capping lower outcomes below 15°C. Traders eye final China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 35%
20°C 18%
21°C 18%
17°C 18%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
13%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
35%
22°C or higher 35%
20°C 18%
21°C 18%
17°C 18%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
13%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature March 28 heavily favors 22°C or higher at 35% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting highs of 21-23°C amid strengthening southerly winds and seasonal spring warming. Recent observations show March 25-27 highs climbing to 19-20°C after a mid-month cold snap, aligning with urban heat island effects amplifying nighttime recovery in the city. Historical late-March averages hover around 17-18°C, but current jet stream positioning supports above-normal temps, positioning 21°C (18.5%) and 20°C (18%) as strong contenders while capping lower outcomes below 15°C. Traders eye final China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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