Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 clustering around 18°C, driving trader consensus with 24.5% implied odds, as short-range predictions refine amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Differentiating the tight race among 17°C (19.5%), 18°C, and 19°C (16.5%) hinges on the timing of a weak frontal boundary potentially capping peaks—historical March data at Wuhan's Hankou station averages 17.2°C, but urban heat island effects and recent mild air mass advection boost upside risks. Traders eye final 00Z updates for resolution shifts, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting seasonal norms and minimal outlier model support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
18°C 26%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
20°C 11%
$23,750 Vol.
$23,750 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
21%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
6%
18°C 26%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
20°C 11%
$23,750 Vol.
$23,750 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
21%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 clustering around 18°C, driving trader consensus with 24.5% implied odds, as short-range predictions refine amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Differentiating the tight race among 17°C (19.5%), 18°C, and 19°C (16.5%) hinges on the timing of a weak frontal boundary potentially capping peaks—historical March data at Wuhan's Hankou station averages 17.2°C, but urban heat island effects and recent mild air mass advection boost upside risks. Traders eye final 00Z updates for resolution shifts, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting seasonal norms and minimal outlier model support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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