Trader sentiment on Wuhan's March 27 peak temperature clusters tightly around 21-24°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models showing a mild high-pressure ridge dominating central China, with mean projections hovering near 22-23°C. Recent model runs indicate slight upward revisions amid above-normal spring warmth, influenced by a weakening polar vortex and southerly flow, boosting 23°C and 24°C odds while capping 25°C+ at 10%. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal maxima in Wuhan by 1-2°C over rural baselines, historical late-March averages of 18-20°C, and lingering uncertainty from potential cold front timing, per China Meteorological Administration updates, keeping lower temps viable but marginal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
23°C 23%
21°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
14%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
10%
23°C 23%
21°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
14%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wuhan's March 27 peak temperature clusters tightly around 21-24°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models showing a mild high-pressure ridge dominating central China, with mean projections hovering near 22-23°C. Recent model runs indicate slight upward revisions amid above-normal spring warmth, influenced by a weakening polar vortex and southerly flow, boosting 23°C and 24°C odds while capping 25°C+ at 10%. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal maxima in Wuhan by 1-2°C over rural baselines, historical late-March averages of 18-20°C, and lingering uncertainty from potential cold front timing, per China Meteorological Administration updates, keeping lower temps viable but marginal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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