Trader sentiment leans toward cooler outcomes, with 22°C or below at 25.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast indicating a maximum around 22-23°C amid persistent northeasterly winds and scattered showers from a lingering frontal system. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on highs below 25°C, influenced by cooler maritime air masses and increased cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, contrasting warmer outliers above 27°C that hinge on potential clearing skies. Historical March data for Taipei averages 24°C highs, but current upper-level troughing favors the lower cluster, with resolution hinging on 1200 UTC model runs tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
22°C or below 26%
25°C 17%
26°C 17%
23°C 17%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
11%
22°C or below 26%
25°C 17%
26°C 17%
23°C 17%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment leans toward cooler outcomes, with 22°C or below at 25.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast indicating a maximum around 22-23°C amid persistent northeasterly winds and scattered showers from a lingering frontal system. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on highs below 25°C, influenced by cooler maritime air masses and increased cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, contrasting warmer outliers above 27°C that hinge on potential clearing skies. Historical March data for Taipei averages 24°C highs, but current upper-level troughing favors the lower cluster, with resolution hinging on 1200 UTC model runs tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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