Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Taipei on March 22, favoring mild daytime heating with highs clustering around 26-27°C and driving top market odds there. Ensemble means hover at 26.5°C, but slight divergences arise from variable cloud cover and northerly winds potentially capping peaks at 26°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 28°C. Urban heat island effects in Taipei amplify measured highs by 1-2°C above rural stations, while historical March averages of 24°C reflect cooler baselines amid recent spring warming trends, leaving lower outcomes like 23°C as hedges against unexpected frontal passages. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
26°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
23°C 19%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C or higher
8%
26°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
23°C 19%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Taipei on March 22, favoring mild daytime heating with highs clustering around 26-27°C and driving top market odds there. Ensemble means hover at 26.5°C, but slight divergences arise from variable cloud cover and northerly winds potentially capping peaks at 26°C versus clearer skies pushing toward 28°C. Urban heat island effects in Taipei amplify measured highs by 1-2°C above rural stations, while historical March averages of 24°C reflect cooler baselines amid recent spring warming trends, leaving lower outcomes like 23°C as hedges against unexpected frontal passages. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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