Trader sentiment for Miami's March 25 high temperature remains tightly contested, driven primarily by divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models showing a central tendency around 82°F but wide spreads favoring outliers like 73°F or below (25.5%) and 92°F or higher (25.5%). The National Weather Service's latest point forecast predicts a high near 82°F under persistent ridging aloft, tempered by afternoon sea-breeze effects and shallow marine-layer moisture that could cap peaks in the 80-81°F range (25.0%). Cool anomalies hinge on potential northward surge of cooler Atlantic air, while extremes above 90°F require stronger subsidence and reduced cloud cover; historical late-March data shows a standard deviation of ~5°F, amplifying model uncertainty as diurnal heating unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on March 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 25?
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 18%
73°F or below
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
12%
92°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 18%
73°F or below
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
12%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's March 25 high temperature remains tightly contested, driven primarily by divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models showing a central tendency around 82°F but wide spreads favoring outliers like 73°F or below (25.5%) and 92°F or higher (25.5%). The National Weather Service's latest point forecast predicts a high near 82°F under persistent ridging aloft, tempered by afternoon sea-breeze effects and shallow marine-layer moisture that could cap peaks in the 80-81°F range (25.0%). Cool anomalies hinge on potential northward surge of cooler Atlantic air, while extremes above 90°F require stronger subsidence and reduced cloud cover; historical late-March data shows a standard deviation of ~5°F, amplifying model uncertainty as diurnal heating unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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