Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, drive trader consensus toward a tight cluster around 80-85°F for Miami's March 23 high temperature, with 84-85°F edging ahead at 26.5% implied probability amid minimal spread in 12-48 hour outlooks. Persistent south-southeast winds and moderating sea breezes temper peaks below climatological late-March norms of 81°F, while partial cloudiness from residual moisture differentiates lower bins like 80-81°F (25.5%) from upper ones, as urban heat island effects at MIA station could nudge toward 84°F under sunnier scenarios. A weak frontal boundary risks cooler 78-79°F if it stalls, but current dew points in the 60s°F favor the mid-pack; watch 18Z model updates for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. März?
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
78–79 °F 8%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78–79 °F
8%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90°F oder höher
2%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
78–79 °F 8%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78–79 °F
8%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90°F oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, drive trader consensus toward a tight cluster around 80-85°F for Miami's March 23 high temperature, with 84-85°F edging ahead at 26.5% implied probability amid minimal spread in 12-48 hour outlooks. Persistent south-southeast winds and moderating sea breezes temper peaks below climatological late-March norms of 81°F, while partial cloudiness from residual moisture differentiates lower bins like 80-81°F (25.5%) from upper ones, as urban heat island effects at MIA station could nudge toward 84°F under sunnier scenarios. A weak frontal boundary risks cooler 78-79°F if it stalls, but current dew points in the 60s°F favor the mid-pack; watch 18Z model updates for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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