Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Tel Aviv's April 5 high temperature near 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 22°C and 28.5% for 21°C. This follows a sharp cool spell over the past 48 hours—April 1 highs near 19°C and April 3 peaking at just 18°C amid hazy, dusty conditions and northerly winds advecting cooler Mediterranean air. A modest rebound is expected as high pressure builds, though sea breezes and lingering haze introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes like 20°C (20.5%) from warmer 23°C (12.5%). New model runs and IMS updates by April 4 could refine these closely matched probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. April?
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
20%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C oder höher
1%
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
20%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Tel Aviv's April 5 high temperature near 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 22°C and 28.5% for 21°C. This follows a sharp cool spell over the past 48 hours—April 1 highs near 19°C and April 3 peaking at just 18°C amid hazy, dusty conditions and northerly winds advecting cooler Mediterranean air. A modest rebound is expected as high pressure builds, though sea breezes and lingering haze introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes like 20°C (20.5%) from warmer 23°C (12.5%). New model runs and IMS updates by April 4 could refine these closely matched probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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