Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 23°C high in Tel Aviv today, driven by NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—peaking at 23°C around midday amid hazy sunshine and moderate westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. Israel Meteorological Service confirms persistent haze, intensified overnight, which reduced insolation and capped heating despite partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatological averages of 22-24°C daytime highs. Current late-afternoon readings near 15°C signal the peak has passed, bolstering confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for adiabatic warming above 24°C or preliminary data revisions before finalization, though post-quality-control adjustments are disregarded per market rules. IMS updates expected to finalize observations by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$63,681 Vol.
$63,681 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$63,681 Vol.
$63,681 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
22°C
$6,497 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,898 Vol.
100%
24°C
$10,260 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$8,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 23°C high in Tel Aviv today, driven by NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—peaking at 23°C around midday amid hazy sunshine and moderate westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. Israel Meteorological Service confirms persistent haze, intensified overnight, which reduced insolation and capped heating despite partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatological averages of 22-24°C daytime highs. Current late-afternoon readings near 15°C signal the peak has passed, bolstering confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for adiabatic warming above 24°C or preliminary data revisions before finalization, though post-quality-control adjustments are disregarded per market rules. IMS updates expected to finalize observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$63,681Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 23°C high in Tel Aviv today, driven by NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—peaking at 23°C around midday amid hazy sunshine and moderate westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. Israel Meteorological Service confirms persistent haze, intensified overnight, which reduced insolation and capped heating despite partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatological averages of 22-24°C daytime highs. Current late-afternoon readings near 15°C signal the peak has passed, bolstering confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for adiabatic warming above 24°C or preliminary data revisions before finalization, though post-quality-control adjustments are disregarded per market rules. IMS updates expected to finalize observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,681Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 23°C high in Tel Aviv today, driven by NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—peaking at 23°C around midday amid hazy sunshine and moderate westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. Israel Meteorological Service confirms persistent haze, intensified overnight, which reduced insolation and capped heating despite partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatological averages of 22-24°C daytime highs. Current late-afternoon readings near 15°C signal the peak has passed, bolstering confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for adiabatic warming above 24°C or preliminary data revisions before finalization, though post-quality-control adjustments are disregarded per market rules. IMS updates expected to finalize observations by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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