Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with clear skies, high solar insolation, and light sea breezes moderating coastal readings. This aligns with August climatology of daily highs near 31°C and explains the strong market consensus around 32°C (70.5% implied probability). Recent observational data show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, keeping 33°C a secondary possibility at 24.5% while lower outcomes remain negligible. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact peak timing and any minor convective influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 22. August?
32°C 71%
33°C 26%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
$11,779 Vol.
$11,779 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
71%
33°C
26%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 71%
33°C 26%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
$11,779 Vol.
$11,779 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
71%
33°C
26%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with clear skies, high solar insolation, and light sea breezes moderating coastal readings. This aligns with August climatology of daily highs near 31°C and explains the strong market consensus around 32°C (70.5% implied probability). Recent observational data show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, keeping 33°C a secondary possibility at 24.5% while lower outcomes remain negligible. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact peak timing and any minor convective influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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