**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on August 3 centers on forecast model consensus pointing to a peak near 29°C.** Recent runs from major global models show a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, supporting highs in the 28–30°C range and limiting stronger warming. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover around 23–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection from the south. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud build-up or showers (which could cap temperatures at 28°C) versus clearer skies that might allow a brief push to 30–31°C; model spread on boundary-layer mixing and surface winds adds to the dispersed probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.