**Incoming rain and associated cloud cover are driving trader consensus toward a cooler high temperature in Zhengzhou on September 24.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of 22–24°C under overcast skies with periods of light to moderate rain, as easterly to northeasterly flow advects cooler, moister air into the region following warmer conditions on September 23. This setup suppresses daytime heating relative to recent September averages near 26–29°C, with precipitation probabilities exceeding 50–70% during peak afternoon hours further limiting solar insolation. Market-implied odds above 45% for 22°C or below reflect this model agreement on limited warming potential, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher capture residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the rain band. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 24. September?
22°C oder niedriger 93%
24°C 40%
23°C 38%
26°C 26%
22°C oder niedriger
93%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
2%
22°C oder niedriger 93%
24°C 40%
23°C 38%
26°C 26%
22°C oder niedriger
93%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming rain and associated cloud cover are driving trader consensus toward a cooler high temperature in Zhengzhou on September 24.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of 22–24°C under overcast skies with periods of light to moderate rain, as easterly to northeasterly flow advects cooler, moister air into the region following warmer conditions on September 23. This setup suppresses daytime heating relative to recent September averages near 26–29°C, with precipitation probabilities exceeding 50–70% during peak afternoon hours further limiting solar insolation. Market-implied odds above 45% for 22°C or below reflect this model agreement on limited warming potential, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher capture residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the rain band. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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