Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 25 show notable divergence across models, with projected highs ranging from the mid-teens to mid-20s Celsius amid a shift from recent warm conditions that produced a 32.7°C peak on September 22. A developing low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are introducing uncertainty through variable wind patterns, increased cloud cover, and precipitation chances that could suppress daytime maxima. Onshore flow from the Atlantic tends to moderate temperatures, while clearer intervals or downslope effects might allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current spread in ensemble guidance—particularly on system timing and intensity—explains the closely matched market probabilities across temperature thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely refine these outlooks ahead of the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 25. September?
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
27°C 39%
18°C oder darunter
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C oder höher
4%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
27°C 39%
18°C oder darunter
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 25 show notable divergence across models, with projected highs ranging from the mid-teens to mid-20s Celsius amid a shift from recent warm conditions that produced a 32.7°C peak on September 22. A developing low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are introducing uncertainty through variable wind patterns, increased cloud cover, and precipitation chances that could suppress daytime maxima. Onshore flow from the Atlantic tends to moderate temperatures, while clearer intervals or downslope effects might allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current spread in ensemble guidance—particularly on system timing and intensity—explains the closely matched market probabilities across temperature thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely refine these outlooks ahead of the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen