Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a highest temperature near 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 25, with light westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the late-September climatological average of roughly 16–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–20°C because small shifts in cloud timing, frontal passage, or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the daily peak by a degree or two, while the low probabilities on extremes reflect the narrow historical range for this date and the short forecast horizon. Upcoming model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether increased sunshine or lingering precipitation tips the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 25. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 25. September?
16°C 38%
15°C 33%
13°C 25%
14°C 21%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
25%
14°C
21%
15°C
33%
16°C
38%
17°C
11%
18°C
8%
19°C
17%
20°C
9%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 38%
15°C 33%
13°C 25%
14°C 21%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$8 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a highest temperature near 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 25, with light westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the late-September climatological average of roughly 16–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–20°C because small shifts in cloud timing, frontal passage, or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the daily peak by a degree or two, while the low probabilities on extremes reflect the narrow historical range for this date and the short forecast horizon. Upcoming model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether increased sunshine or lingering precipitation tips the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$8Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a highest temperature near 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 25, with light westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the late-September climatological average of roughly 16–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–20°C because small shifts in cloud timing, frontal passage, or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the daily peak by a degree or two, while the low probabilities on extremes reflect the narrow historical range for this date and the short forecast horizon. Upcoming model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether increased sunshine or lingering precipitation tips the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a highest temperature near 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 25, with light westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the late-September climatological average of roughly 16–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–20°C because small shifts in cloud timing, frontal passage, or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the daily peak by a degree or two, while the low probabilities on extremes reflect the narrow historical range for this date and the short forecast horizon. Upcoming model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether increased sunshine or lingering precipitation tips the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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