Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 25 show highs clustered near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain possible, reflecting model consensus on limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from autumnal moisture. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while regional steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce further variability. With outcomes from 24–31°C holding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing genuine short-term uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles rather than a single dominant scenario. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 25. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 25. September?
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C
4%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 25 show highs clustered near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain possible, reflecting model consensus on limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from autumnal moisture. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while regional steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce further variability. With outcomes from 24–31°C holding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing genuine short-term uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles rather than a single dominant scenario. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 25 show highs clustered near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain possible, reflecting model consensus on limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from autumnal moisture. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while regional steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce further variability. With outcomes from 24–31°C holding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing genuine short-term uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles rather than a single dominant scenario. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 25 show highs clustered near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain possible, reflecting model consensus on limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from autumnal moisture. Subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while regional steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce further variability. With outcomes from 24–31°C holding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing genuine short-term uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles rather than a single dominant scenario. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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