Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, where all major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as safe or solid for the GOP. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by margins of four to ten points against leading Democratic primary contenders such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. The August 2026 primaries remain the next key milestone, with Democratic candidates still competing in a crowded field and no major shifts reported in the past month. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$29,725 Vol.
$29,725 Vol.

Republikaner
77%

Demokrat
20%
$29,725 Vol.
$29,725 Vol.

Republikaner
77%

Demokrat
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, where all major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as safe or solid for the GOP. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by margins of four to ten points against leading Democratic primary contenders such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. The August 2026 primaries remain the next key milestone, with Democratic candidates still competing in a crowded field and no major shifts reported in the past month. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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