Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, show Ankara experiencing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, driving the daily minimum to 14°C. This aligns with ensemble consensus from global models projecting dew points near 12°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau. The strong market-implied probability reflects this data-driven agreement. A shift to thicker cloud cover or unexpected warm-air advection could push the low above 14°C, while clearer skies and drier conditions might allow it to dip lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 29. August?
14°C 96%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
74%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 96%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
74%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, show Ankara experiencing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, driving the daily minimum to 14°C. This aligns with ensemble consensus from global models projecting dew points near 12°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau. The strong market-implied probability reflects this data-driven agreement. A shift to thicker cloud cover or unexpected warm-air advection could push the low above 14°C, while clearer skies and drier conditions might allow it to dip lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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