Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 21 likely between 13–15 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Dew points near 10–11 °C support this range, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud cover and wind speed that could nudge the low a degree either way. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Fresh model runs and official updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 21. September?
12°C 40%
13 °C 40%
14°C 40%
11°C 39%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder darunter
19%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13 °C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C oder höher
4%
12°C 40%
13 °C 40%
14°C 40%
11°C 39%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13 °C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 21 likely between 13–15 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Dew points near 10–11 °C support this range, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud cover and wind speed that could nudge the low a degree either way. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Fresh model runs and official updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 21 likely between 13–15 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Dew points near 10–11 °C support this range, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud cover and wind speed that could nudge the low a degree either way. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Fresh model runs and official updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 21 likely between 13–15 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Dew points near 10–11 °C support this range, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud cover and wind speed that could nudge the low a degree either way. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Fresh model runs and official updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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