Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 27. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 27. August?
11°C 100.0%
8°C oder weniger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,368 Vol.
$3,368 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
8°C oder weniger
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Ja
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C oder höher
Nein
11°C 100.0%
8°C oder weniger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,368 Vol.
$3,368 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
8°C oder weniger
$418 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$95 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$345 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$684 Vol.
Ja
12°C
$217 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$233 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$735 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$211 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$322 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$50 Vol.
Nein
18°C oder höher
$58 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$3,368Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,368Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecast models and early observations for Cape Town on August 27 point to a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight into early morning as the dominant driver of the 98.5% market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light northwest winds and dew points near 11-12°C, aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region where overnight lows frequently settle in this narrow range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with historical climatology for late August reinforcing the 10-13°C envelope. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or increased cloud cover persisting through the night could push the actual low above 12°C, while an earlier cold air intrusion might dip it to 10°C or below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen