Current forecasts for Cape Town's overnight low on August 29 center on 11–13°C amid overcast skies, light showers or patchy rain, and moderate southerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local models shows a nighttime minimum near 12°C, with some projections dipping to 11°C under clearer breaks or rising to 13°C if cloud cover persists. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects versus marine influence. Traders are weighting recent hourly trends showing temperatures already falling into the mid-teens by afternoon against climatological August baselines near 10–12°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 29. August?
11°C 48%
12°C 48%
13°C 48%
10°C 47%
$708 Vol.
$708 Vol.
7°C or below
7%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
47%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
47%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
12°C 48%
13°C 48%
10°C 47%
$708 Vol.
$708 Vol.
7°C or below
7%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
47%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
47%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town's overnight low on August 29 center on 11–13°C amid overcast skies, light showers or patchy rain, and moderate southerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local models shows a nighttime minimum near 12°C, with some projections dipping to 11°C under clearer breaks or rising to 13°C if cloud cover persists. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects versus marine influence. Traders are weighting recent hourly trends showing temperatures already falling into the mid-teens by afternoon against climatological August baselines near 10–12°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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