The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$140,373 Vol.
$140,373 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$140,373 Vol.
$140,373 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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