Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall between 19–23°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and moderating influence from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under typical late-summer high pressure. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight but limits extreme drops, consistent with climatological August lows near 18–20°C. Close market clustering around 22–23°C reflects model spread on exact dewpoint and wind patterns, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger marine breeze potentially pushing the low toward 20°C or below. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services will clarify the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 22. August?
18°C or below 74%
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
20°C 42%
18°C or below
74%
19°C
36%
20°C
42%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
3%
18°C or below 74%
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
20°C 42%
18°C or below
74%
19°C
36%
20°C
42%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall between 19–23°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and moderating influence from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under typical late-summer high pressure. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight but limits extreme drops, consistent with climatological August lows near 18–20°C. Close market clustering around 22–23°C reflects model spread on exact dewpoint and wind patterns, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger marine breeze potentially pushing the low toward 20°C or below. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services will clarify the overnight minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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