Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 26. August?
22°C oder höher 99%
21°C 7.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C oder höher
99%
22°C oder höher 99%
21°C 7.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C oder höher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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